This page contains papers listed by category. Data, code, and working paper versions or appendices with additional results are available for selected manuscripts. Click on titles to view these items:
Methods
Intergenerational Mobility and Inequality
Education
Effects of Income Taxes on Labor Supply
Taxation of Individuals
Corporate Taxation
Social Insurance
Risk Preferences

Methods

Estimating Treatment Effects using Multiple Surrogates: The Role of the Surrogate Score and the Surrogate Index
(with Susan Athey, Guido W. Imbens and Hyunseung Kang), revised June 2016

Behavioral Economics and Public Policy: A Pragmatic Perspective
Ely Lecture, American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 105(5): 1-33, 2015

Identification and Inference with Many Invalid Instruments
(with Michal Kolesar, John Friedman, Edward Glaeser, and Guido Imbens), Journal of Business Economics and Statistics 33(4): 474-484, 2015

Bounds on Elasticities with Optimization Frictions: A Synthesis of Micro and Macro Evidence on Labor Supply
Econometrica 80(3): 969-1018, 2012

Sufficient Statistics for Welfare Analysis: A Bridge Between Structural and Reduced-Form Methods
Annual Review of Economics 1: 451-488, 2009

Expanding Access to Administrative Data for Research in the United States
(with David Card, Martin Feldstein, and Emmanuel Saez) National Science Foundation White Paper September 2010

Time Trends in the Use of Administrative Data for Empirical Research
NBER Summer Institute, July 2012

Intergenerational Mobility and Inequality

Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility
(with John N. Friedman, Emmanuel Saez, Nicholas Turner, and Danny Yagan)

The Fading American Dream: Trends in Absolute Income Mobility Since 1940
(with David Grusky, Maximilian Hell, Nathaniel Hendren, Robert Manduca, Jimmy Narang), Science 356 (6336): 398-406, 2017

The Effects of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility I: Childhood Exposure Effects
(with Nathaniel Hendren), National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 23001, Revised Version (May 2017)

The Effects of Neighborhoods on Intergenerational Mobility II: County Level Estimates
(with Nathaniel Hendren), National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 23002, Revised Version (May 2017)

The Lifecycle of Inventors
(with Alex Bell, Xavier Jaravel, Neviana Petkova, and John Van Reenen), Preliminary Draft, June 2016

The Association Between Income and Life Expectancy in the United States, 2001-2014
(with Michael Stepner, Sarah Abraham, Shelby Lin, Benjamin Scuderi, Nicholas Turner, Augustin Bergeron and David Cutler) The Journal of the Americal Medical Association 315(16): 1750-1766, 2016

Childhood Environment and Gender Gaps in Adulthood
(with Nathaniel Hendren, Frina Lin, Jeremy Majerovitz and Benjamin Scuderi), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 106(5): 282-88, 2016

The Effects of Exposure to Better Neighborhoods on Children: New Evidence from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment
(with Nathaniel Hendren and Lawrence Katz), American Economic Review 106(4): 855-902, 2016

Is the United States Still a Land of Opportunity? Recent Trends in Intergenerational Mobility
(with Nathaniel Hendren, Patrick Kline, Emmanuel Saez, and Nick Turner), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 104(5): 141-147, 2014

Where is the Land of Opportunity? The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the United States
(with Nathaniel Hendren, Patrick Kline, and Emmanuel Saez), Quarterly Journal of Economics 129(4): 1553-1623, 2014

Education

Mobility Report Cards: The Role of Colleges in Intergenerational Mobility
(with John N. Friedman, Emmanuel Saez, Nicholas Turner, and Danny Yagan)

Using Lagged Outcomes to Evaluate Bias in Value-Added Models
(with John Friedman and Jonah Rockoff), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 106(5): 393-99, 2016

Measuring the Impact of Teachers: Reply to Rothstein
(with John Friedman and Jonah Rockoff), American Economic Review, forthcoming

Measuring the Impact of Teachers II: Teacher Value-Added and Student Outcomes in Adulthood
(with John Friedman and Jonah Rockoff), American Economic Review 104(9): 2633-2679, 2014

Measuring the Impacts of Teachers I: Evaluating Bias in Teacher Value-Added Estimates
(with John Friedman and Jonah Rockoff), American Economic Review 104(9): 2593-2632, 2014

How Does Your Kindergarten Classroom Affect Your Earnings? Evidence from Project STAR
(with John Friedman, Nathaniel Hilger, Emmanuel Saez, Diane Schanzenbach, and Danny Yagan), Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(4): 1593-1660, 2011

Effects of Income Taxes on Labor Supply

Using Differences in Knowledge Across Neighborhoods to Uncover the Impacts of the EITC on Earnings
(with John Friedman and Emmanuel Saez), American Economic Review 103(7): 2683-2721, 2013

Teaching the Tax Code: Earnings Responses to an Experiment with EITC Recipients
(with Emmanuel Saez), American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 5(1): 1-31, 2013

Adjustment Costs, Firm Responses, and Micro vs. Macro Labor Supply Elasticities: Evidence from Danish Tax Records
(with John Friedman, Tore Olsen, and Luigi Pistaferri), Quarterly Journal of Economics 126(2): 749-804, 2011

Does Indivisible Labor Explain the Difference Between Micro and Macro Elasticities? A Meta-Analysis of Extensive Margin Elasticities
(with Adam Guren, Day Manoli, and Andrea Weber), National Bureau of Economic Research Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27: 1-56, 2013

Bounds on Elasticities with Optimization Frictions: A Synthesis of Micro and Macro Evidence on Labor Supply
Econometrica 80(3): 969-1018, 2012

Are Micro and Macro Labor Supply Elasticities Consistent? A Review of Evidence on the Intensive and Extensive Margins
(with Adam Guren, Day Manoli, and Andrea Weber), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 101: 471-75, 2011

Taxation of Individuals

Active vs. Passive Decisions and Crowd-out in Retirement Savings Accounts: Evidence from Denmark
(with John Friedman, Soren Leth-Petersen, Torben Nielsen, and Tore Olsen), Quarterly Journal of Economics 129(3): 1141-1219, 2014

What Policies Increase Prosocial Behavior? An Experiment with Referees at the Journal of Public Economics
(with Emmanuel Saez and Laszlo Sandor), Journal of Economic Perspectives 28(3): 169-88, 2014

Optimal Taxation and Social Insurance with Endogenous Private Insurance
(with Emmanuel Saez), American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2(2): 85-114, 2010

Is the Taxable Income Elasticity Sufficient to Calculate Deadweight Loss? The Implications of Evasion and Avoidance
American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 1(2): 31-52, 2009

Salience and Taxation: Theory and Evidence
(with Adam Looney and Kory Kroft), American Economic Review 99(4): 1145-1177, Sep. 2009

Salience and Taxation: Evidence and Policy Implications
Testimony for the U.S. Senate Finance Committee, March 2011

The Simple Economics of Salience and Taxation
National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 15246, August 2009

Corporate Taxation

Dividend and Corporate Taxation in an Agency Model of the Firm
(with Emmanuel Saez), American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 2(3): 1-31, 2010

Interest Rates, Irreversibility, and Backward-Bending Investment
Review of Economic Studies 74(1): 67-91, 2007

The Effects of Taxes on Market Responses to Dividend Announcements and Payments: What Can We Learn from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut?
(with Joseph Rosenberg and Emmanuel Saez), in eds. A. Auerbach, J. Hines, and J. Slemrod, Taxing Corporate Income in the 21st Century, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 1-33, 2007

The Effects of the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut on Corporate Behavior: Interpreting the Evidence
(with Emmanuel Saez), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 96: 124-129, 2006

Dividend Taxes and Corporate Behavior: Evidence from the 2003 Dividend Tax Cut
(with Emmanuel Saez), Quarterly Journal of Economics 120(3): 791-833, 2005

Social Insurance

Social Insurance: Connecting Theory to Data
(with Amy Finkelstein), Handbook of Public Economics Volume 5: 111-193, 2013

Moral Hazard vs. Liquidity and Optimal Unemployment Insurance
Journal of Political Economy 116(2): 173-234, 2008

Cash-on-Hand and Competing Models of Intertemporal Behavior: New Evidence from the Labor Market
(with David Card and Andrea Weber), Quarterly Journal of Economics 122(4): 1511-1560, 2007

The Spike at Benefit Exhaustion: Leaving the Unemployment System or Starting a New Job?
(with David Card and Andrea Weber), American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings 97:113-118, 2007

Income Risk and the Benefits of Social Insurance: Evidence from Indonesia and the United States
(with Adam Looney), in eds. T. Ito and A. Rose, Fiscal Policy and Management in East Asia: NBER East Asia Seminar on Economics 16, Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 2007

A General Formula for the Optimal Level of Social Insurance
Journal of Public Economics 90: 1879-1901, 2006

Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Consequences of Social Insurance in Developing Economies
(with Adam Looney), Journal of Public Economics 90: 2351-2356, 2006

Optimal Unemployment Insurance When Income Effects are Large
National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 10500, May 2004

Risk Preferences

The Effect of Housing on Portfolio Choice
(with Laszlo Sandor and Adam Szeidl), Journal of Finance, forthcoming

Consumption Commitments and Habit Formation
(with Adam Szeidl), Econometrica 84(2): 855-890, 2016

Consumption Commitments and Risk Preferences
(with Adam Szeidl), Quarterly Journal of Economics 122(2): 831-877, 2007

Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Consequences of Social Insurance in Developing Economies
(with Adam Looney), Journal of Public Economics 90: 2351-2356, 2006

A New Method of Estimating Risk Aversion
American Economic Review 96(5), 1821-1834, December 2006

Consumption Commitments, Unemployment Durations, and Local Risk Aversion
National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper No. 10211, December 2003

When do Countercyclical Policies Increase Economic Stability?
September 2001